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Geopolitical Fragmentation: The New Trade-War Balance-Sheet Risk of 2026

Executive Summary In 2026, geopolitical fragmentation is no longer a “news risk” — it is a measurable financial risk. Tariffs, export controls, sanctions, shipping disruptions, and sudden regulatory divergence can reprice inventory, impair contracts, delay cash collections, and force costly supplier reconfiguration. The most exposed businesses are those with single-country sourcing, thin working capital buffers,...

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